Projects, Experiments, and Notes

Market Pulse

Energy security is back in the spotlight as attacks near the Strait of Hormuz and an unresolved Iran conflict collide with already sticky inflation and a Federal Reserve that openly admits it can’t give clear forward guidance. Major indexes come into the week extended but nervous, with recent earnings rewarding disciplined, AI-heavy capex even as valuations de‑risk from euphoric levels. At the same time, Bitcoin is probing the $80,000 zone into thin liquidity, underscoring how quickly risk appetite can swing if a macro or geopolitical shock hits. The opportunity this week is to lean into durable trends—AI infrastructure, nuclear and grid build‑out, and high‑quality crypto—while being ruthless about what was just riding easy liquidity and should be cut or downgraded.

Updated May 4, 2026 · Weekly Market Overview - 04/05/2026