Projects, Experiments, and Notes

Market Pulse

Oil and geopolitics are back in the driver’s seat after renewed U.S.–Iran strikes pushed energy risk higher just as markets sit near highs with volatility unusually calm. The central tension is whether strong earnings and resilient AI demand can keep carrying risk assets through a week packed with inflation data, Fed testimony, bank results, and major semiconductor read-throughs. A cooler inflation print could extend the risk-on move, but hot core inflation or cautious chip guidance would probably expose how crowded parts of the trade have become.

Updated Jul 13, 2026 · Weekly Market Overview - 07/13/2026